Su Xiaokang: Can a failed power be saved?

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图片-新世纪NewCenturyNet

Photo-New Century NewCenturyNet

[Note: Bao Lao is worthy of being the Secretary of the Standing Committee of the Politburo, and he pointed out the fundamental difference between the “Xi regime” and the previous top-level CCP systems and the general trend in China since the 1980s: “It eats the food of the world, but destroys the world. Since Deng Xiaoping’s “hide our strengths and bide our time”, this opportunistic policy has allowed China to “eat the world’s food” and develop rapidly. Unfortunately, the CCP chose a prodigal and began to “smash the world’s cauldron.” The whole modern world is not very good, but China is so big and so rich, it is even more hopeless when it “fails”, there is no doubt. 】

In mid-May 2021, Xu Zhangrun republished the article “China’s Lonely Boat on the Ocean of World Civilization: Political Views and Civilization Theory of the New Crown Epidemic in the Context of the Global System”, and there are “evil countries” about the rising powers in the plague. , “Small Civilized Country”, “Politics of Suffering”, etc., and then ends with the resentment like Chu Ci:

“Enough, this musty god-building movement, superficial leader worship; enough, this shameless singing and dancing, filthy filthy shamelessness; enough, this shrewd lie, boundless suffering; enough, enough, The bloodthirsty politics of the Red Dynasty, the insatiable party-state system; enough, the absurdity and disorder of the past seven years, the step-by-step perversions; 』

Just at this time, a book that analyzes the rebirth of a country, or a fall to the bottom, came out. Using the seven countries of Finland, Japan, Chile, Indonesia, Germany, Australia and the United States as templates, it analyzed their encounters with internal worries, foreign aggression, and gradual progress. In the three major types of crises, the coping strategies and their consequences are used to find a common way of coping with the success or failure of a country, but does it really exist?

“Unrest: How does the country resolve the crisis and successfully transform? (Upheaval: Turning Points of Nations in Crisis), this “political science” book, actually comes from the world-famous master of biological evolution Judd. Damon, when I repeatedly questioned “Sangzi in East Asia will follow the collapse of the Mayan civilization”, I also repeatedly mentioned that China put his warnings to the back of his mind. The book criticizes China’s 10 percent annual growth rate:

All kinds of environmental problems lead to huge economic costs, social conflicts and health problems, any of which is enough to cause serious concern for the Chinese people. However, given China’s huge population, economy and region, its environmental problems will not only be a domestic issue, but will spill over to the rest of the world, and those who share a planet, an ocean, and an atmosphere with China will be gradually affected, that is, China’s environmental problems will also be globalized.

Intelligencer, part of New York Magazine, last May published an interview between climate journalist David Wallace Wells and Dimon with the scary headline, “Dimon says there is a 49% chance that the world will end in 2050.” Still talking about “Breakdown,” Wells asked him if he was thinking the same way he was fifteen years ago, and Dimon said:

“Yes. My opinion remains the same because the stories I read in 2005 are still today, and there are still many communities self-destructing due to environmental damage. More cases have emerged since I wrote that book. There have been studies of environmental collapse in Cahokia, outside St. Louis, the most populous American Indian society in North America. I didn’t know why Kaoquia collapsed when I wrote Collapse, but then we learned that the role of climate change and flooding on the Mississippi in destroying Kaoquia was well studied. So what that book says is what happened here, nothing has changed today, the society of the past destroyed itself. The past fourteen years have not corrected society to destroy itself.

The crisis we face today is not the collapse of human communities one by one, but the collapse of the entire world due to the crisis brought about by globalization.

Q: What do you think are the odds? Will the entire network of civilizations collapse?

A: I estimate that there is about a 49% chance that the world will collapse by around 2050. I will be dead by then, but what will happen to my children? By 2050, he’s 63, so that’s a topic I’m very interested in. The management of resources in complex societies is unsustainable at the current rate, and fisheries around the world, most of which are managed in unsustainable and increasingly depleted ways. Of the farms around the world, most are not managed in a sustainable way. Soils, topsoils, freshwater management around the world are not sustainable. Under these scenarios, at our current rate, we could continue to use the currently unsustainable resource for decades, and by around 2050, we won’t be able to use it any longer. This means that by 2050, we will either have found the resources for sustainable development, or it will be too late. 』

In this regard, there is no doubt that China’s resource-exhausting development model is a spectacle and provides a “model”. I wonder if Dimon will not list it as the eighth national template in this new book? China has taken off for 30 years, causing damage to two systems: ecology and value. “Ghost Pushing Mill” also devoted a section on “Mountains and Rivers Lost in”, saying that it has a relationship with the system. The common people inhaled poison gas only to find that they were helpless and lost. Any effective means to change even the slightest national policy.

“Power rent-seeking, social blackening, borderline divorce, and what’s more, the economic take-off is destructive to China itself. It has brought “the Chinese nation to the most dangerous time” in terms of value and ecology. The development model of “cut off children and never grandchildren”. The environmental cost has become an indisputable fact today. Most of China is sinking into severe smog. In order to save their country, the CCP will not hesitate to destroy the country of the Chinese nation. The land, air, and rivers are all polluted. The incidence of cancer among Chinese people has risen sharply. Mourning “the country is broken by mountains and rivers”.

The Chinese people only found out that they were helpless after inhaling poison gas. They lost any effective means to change even the slightest bit of national policy. When China became the world’s second largest economy, the middle class did not naturally demand “democratic politics” as predicted by Western theories. Most of them fled desperately and immigrated to the West with money. After the “June 4th”, the CCP encouraged the whole people to get rich. The essence of the meaning is that they kidnapped the whole people and invested with them for 30 years. The people sold their labor, and no one wanted to lose everything. Now the economy is down, there are fewer opportunities, and more people fail. , the more this is the case, the more everyone wants to save the last scraps of food, everyone is afraid that the overall situation will collapse, and there will be no life-saving straw. 』

It is unprecedented for China to become a “failed country” at the same time as an “economic miracle”. I have listed some breathtaking data:

“As early as 1999, Qu Geping, director of the Environmental Committee of the National People’s Congress, made a surprising statement:

China’s most suitable population is about 700 million, and the maximum (limit) population is about 1.6 billion. If it exceeds this number, a total collapse will occur.

According to Reuters, the air quality of 39 major northern cities in China is far from the standard set by the government; the Massachusetts Institute of Technology predicts that if carbon emissions are not reduced, the North China Plain, including Beijing, will become a dead zone, at the latest. Unfit for human habitation before 2070. Burning coal containing radioactive elements, the dust is charged and will not fall to the ground for half a million years.

The total length of China’s large rivers is about 50,000 kilometers. According to the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization report, 80% of them are no longer suitable for fish. The Yangtze River ecosystem has collapsed, and more than half of the original 175 endemic species have been lost. Many stretches of the Yellow River are dead rivers, full of chromium, cadmium and other poisons from oil refineries, paper mills and chemical plants, not only unfit for human use, but not even for irrigation.

China’s fifth census in 2000 showed that China’s total fertility rate was only 1.22; the sixth census in 2010 showed that China’s total fertility rate dropped to 1.18. This is a double crisis of “ultra-low fertility” and “low birthrate”. In the future, the population of China will decrease by 45% for each generation (about 30 years), 83% for the third generation (about 90 years), 95% for the fifth generation (about 150 years), and 95% for the tenth generation (about 150 years). About 300 years) decreased by 99.75%, that is to say, within one or two hundred years, the number of newborns in China will return to the level of 5,000 years; after 300 years, there will be less than 4 million people left in China. The Chinese nation has declined into an old and small, endangered and weak nation.

It is said that China may at least have a way to support itself until the middle of the 21st century, but according to China’s own data, even if it accelerates the shift to industrialization and large-scale water conservancy projects, China can only narrowly miss the disaster. This extreme predicament makes China particularly vulnerable. A major flood or drought, or crop diseases and insect pests, may collapse China’s economic system, and China’s huge population makes the international community or other countries powerless to rescue… 』

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